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Friday, 03 July 2015 - Market Commentary
Daily currency news provided by UkForex

: GBP/USD recovered a bit on Thursday following the release of better than expected Construction PMI. It pushed up through 1.56 again but has traded sideways since and opens this morning at 1.5615. US Non-Farm Payrolls were released yesterday and printed only slightly weaker than expectations at 223k vs. 231k. The dollar blipped lower but it didn’t last and it steadied as markets meandered in to the long US weekend.
We expect a range today in the GBP/USD rate of 1.5520 to 1.5680
: The Swedish central bank cut interest rates yesterday to -0.35% in a surprise move. It also expanded its asset purchase programme and said that it was difficult to assess the consequences of what’s happening to Greece. The dollar firmed up through the morning on safe haven demand and EUR/USD fell to 1.1045 ahead of the US jobs data. It has recovered a bit overnight and opens this morning at 1.1105. The Greek vote is due this weekend and as rhetoric on Greece’s future in the Eurozone is likely to continue, so is volatility.
We expect a range today in the GBP/EUR rate of 1.4000 to 1.4120
⇒ view full report Charts : EUR/USD EUR/AUD EUR/JPY EUR/CHF EUR/CAD EUR/CNY
: AUD/USD was dumped lower overnight after the release of weaker than expected Australian retail sales data which printed at 0.3% vs. 0.5% in May. Chinese Services PMI also came in soft overnight and this piled further pressure on the Aussie. It is continuing to fall in the early London session too and trades at .7550 currently. NZD/USD, on the other hand, pushed higher following the US jobs report and has held firm overnight to open this morning at .6700 - it traded to a high of .6735 yesterday.
We expect a range today in the GBP/AUD rate of 2.0550 to 2.0720
We expect a range today in the GBP/NZD rate of 2.3180 to 2.3400
⇒ view full report
In a return to macroeconomic news the Greenback edged lower overnight as Employment data and Jobs growth failed to meet market expectations. June’s non-farm payroll report showed just 223,000 new jobs were added to the economy while the Labor Department revised down April and May’s prints by 60,000. Further compounding the sour outlook the labour force participation rate fell to its lowest level in 38 years as 430,000 employees dropped out of the labour pool. The step decline in labour force membership cancelled out a drop in overall unemployment extending the timeline of expectation for a Federal Reserve rate hike. Analysts now anticipate record low interest rates will remain unchanged through September with just 50% calling for a rate adjustment prior to Christmas. The euro edged higher on the back of US data weakness touching overnight highs of 1.1118 before investor’s squared positions leading into the Independence Day long weekend and Greek Referendum. Tsipras and Varoufakis found unlikely support from the IMF throughout Thursday as the global economies lender of last resort submitted an assessment suggesting Greece will require extensive monetary support and extended periods of debt relief if the economy is to rebuild and reduce its debt to GDP ratio. The relationship between Greece and its Creditors already stood on shaky ground but now it appears crack are forming amongst the Troika of lenders further muddying the waters and highlighting the problems ahead regardless of the result on Sunday. Attentions through Friday will be all but consumed by the ongoing credit crisis with significant market volatility expected on Monday.
Data releases:
AIG Services Index and Retail Sales m/m  
NZD: No Data
No Data   
GBP: Services PMI
⇒ view full report Charts : USD/EUR EUR/USD USD/JPY

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OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Reversed direction. USD/JPY - Gained last week. GBP/USD - Reversed direction. AUD/USD - Reversed direction. USD/CAD - Gained a fraction. NZD/USD - Extended its previous week’s losses. Continue reading
Posted on 29 June 2015 | 1:41 pm
OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Extended its gains. USD/JPY - Extended its previous week’s losses. GBP/USD - Continued its rally last week. AUD/USD - Extended its previous week’s gains. USD/CAD - Continued its decline. NZD/USD - Continued selling off last week. Continue reading
Posted on 22 June 2015 | 1:53 pm
OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Extended its gains last week. USD/JPY - Reversed direction. GBP/USD - Gained ground. AUD/USD - Extended its previous week’s gains. USD/CAD - Extended its previous week’s losses. NZD/USD - Lost a fraction last week. Continue reading
Posted on 10 May 2015 | 7:17 pm
Agility Forex
USDCAD Overnight Range 1.2048-1.2142 The highly anticipated US (and Canadian) employment reports were greeted with a resounding “meh”. NFP was right on consensus and the unemployment rate is 5.4%. EURUSD rose and fell and is currently back to its pre-release level. The Canadian report was worse than expected, which was actually expected, shedding 19,700 jobs.… Continue reading
Posted on 8 May 2015 | 6:37 am
OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Continued its rally last week. USD/JPY - Continued gaining. GBP/USD - Reversed direction. AUD/USD - Gained another fraction. USD/CAD - Lost a fraction. NZD/USD - Extended its previous week’s losses. Continue reading
Posted on 3 May 2015 | 5:43 pm

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