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Friday, 29 May 2015 - Market Commentary
Daily currency news provided by UkForex

: Data released yesterday showed that Q1 UK GDP was revised down to 0.3% vs. forecasts for 0.4%. This put the pound on the back foot throughout most of the morning. Throw in prevailing dollar strength – fuelled by better than expected US pending home sales released yesterday afternoon – and GBP/USD fell through support at 1.53 to a low of 1.5265. Good demand for EUR/GBP also weighed on the pair. Expect some consolidation in GBP/USD this morning around the 1.53 figure ahead of US Prelim GDP and Chicago PMI due for release later in the day. There’s no data due from the UK.
We expect a range today in the GBP/USD rate of 1.5260 to 1.5400
: There was still a lot of rhetoric around a potential Greek deal yesterday. The Greek government said it was close. Data wise, Spanish GDP beat expectations yesterday and showed that the Spanish economy grew at its fastest pace in seven years. Oddly, EUR/USD fell on the news but as EUR/GBP demand kicked in later in the morning the pair recovered. It’s consolidated through Asia and opens this morning at 1.0950. Better than expected German Retail Sales released this morning should lend some support to the single currency over the med-term. Meanwhile, GBP/EUR is back below 1.40, largely a result of the soft revision to UK GDP and it trades at 1.3975.
We expect a range today in the GBP/EUR rate of 1.3955 to 1.4050
⇒ view full report Charts : EUR/USD EUR/AUD EUR/JPY EUR/CHF EUR/CAD EUR/CNY
: NZD/USD came under selling pressure overnight following the release of weaker than expected NZ business confidence data. It’s fallen from .7190 to a low of .7120 and remains on the back foot in London at .7140. AUD/USD has recovered a bit during its local session, this after getting slammed lower throughout much of the last week. A mild recovery in commodity prices has supported the move.
We expect a range today in the GBP/AUD rate of 1.9900 to 2.0065
We expect a range today in the GBP/NZD rate of 2.1350 to 2.1520
⇒ view full report
Monetary policy expectations helped the U.S Dollar touch twelve and a half year highs against the Japanese Yen as markets prepare for a prolonged period of BoJ quantitative easing while expectations of a year-end Federal Reserve rate adjustment continue to grow. A stable unemployment print and strong pending home sales report helped bolster claims the economy is recovering from its anaemic first quarter and support suggestions the slowdown was an anomaly that will be reversed leading into the second half of the year. Touching 124.46 the USD gave back much of the advance leading into the daily close as comments from Japanese finance minister Taro Aso hinted at a BoJ intervention should the Yen continue to tumble. The Euro held gains as markets cling to the hope European Creditors and Greece will come to an agreement on reform and advance the next tranche of debt assistance before the cash-strapped nation is forced to default on its current loans. Attentions will be squarely focused on US prelim GDP number and the ongoing Greek debt negotiations for direction into the weekend.
Data releases:
HIA New Home Sales m/m and Private Sector Credit m/m
NZD: ANZ Business Confidence and Building Consents
Household Spending, Tokyo Core CPI, National Core CPI, Unemployment Rate, Prelim Industrial Production and Housing Starts.
GBP: GFK Consumer Confidence         
⇒ view full report Charts : USD/EUR EUR/USD USD/JPY

BER Notebook - FX Market Research & Currency News/Views from our Partners See more >>

OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Extended its gains last week. USD/JPY - Reversed direction. GBP/USD - Gained ground. AUD/USD - Extended its previous week’s gains. USD/CAD - Extended its previous week’s losses. NZD/USD - Lost a fraction last week. Continue reading
Posted on 10 May 2015 | 7:17 pm
Agility Forex
USDCAD Overnight Range 1.2048-1.2142 The highly anticipated US (and Canadian) employment reports were greeted with a resounding “meh”. NFP was right on consensus and the unemployment rate is 5.4%. EURUSD rose and fell and is currently back to its pre-release level. The Canadian report was worse than expected, which was actually expected, shedding 19,700 jobs.… Continue reading
Posted on 8 May 2015 | 6:37 am
OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Continued its rally last week. USD/JPY - Continued gaining. GBP/USD - Reversed direction. AUD/USD - Gained another fraction. USD/CAD - Lost a fraction. NZD/USD - Extended its previous week’s losses. Continue reading
Posted on 3 May 2015 | 5:43 pm
OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Extended its previous week’s gains. USD/JPY - Gained a fraction. GBP/USD - Extended its previous week’s gains. AUD/USD - Gained a fraction. USD/CAD - Extended its previous losses. NZD/USD - Reversed direction last week. Continue reading
Posted on 26 April 2015 | 7:57 pm
OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Gained ground last week. USD/JPY - Sold off. GBP/USD - Rallied last week. AUD/USD - Extended its gains. USD/CAD - Gave back its previous week’s gains. NZD/USD - Gained ground last week. Continue reading
Posted on 19 April 2015 | 8:33 pm

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