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   Wednesday, 01 July 2015 - Market Commentary
Daily currency news provided by OzForex

The Australian dollar continued edging higher throughout trade on Tuesday recovering all losses suffered in the immediate panic that followed market open on Monday and the unfolding Greek credit crunch. Opening at 0.7671 the Aussie was range bound for much of the domestic session bouncing of intraday lows of 0.7652 while struggling to break above short term resistance at 0.7690. The Aussie then found support as investors pushed the unit through 0.77 to touch session highs of 0.7724 before upbeat US consumer confidence arrested any hopes of an additional rally forcing the commodity driven currency backward. The AUD opens this morning buying 0.7704 U.S cents as attentions turn to domestic building approvals for macroeconomic direction amidst a heavy Chinese docket and the unfolding European saga that will like cap larger directional swings through the week and Sunday’s Greek referendum.
We expect a range today of 0.7580 – 0.7780
Cable offered little for investors through trade on Tuesday maintaining a relatively tight trading range. A widening trade balance was offset by a jump in consumer confidence to levels not seen in 15 years and helped Sterling push through intraday highs of 1.5775. The rally was short lived as stronger than anticipated U.S consumer confidence and heavy greenback buying into the monthly close forced investors to give up gains and GBP edged back toward1.5690. Opening this morning buying 1.5713 attentions turn to key manufacturing PMI for signs the economic recovery remains on track.  
We expect a range today of 2.0325 – 2.0575
The New Zealand dollar moved lower through trade on Tuesday after a decline in ANZ business confidence forced a sell off which continued throughout the domestic session. Breaking below 0.68 the Kiwi touched intraday lows of 0.6750 as heavy USD buying into months end compounded the dairy driven currencies downward trajectory. With little data on hand today direction will come from key offshore data events with the international docket laden with key Chinese and U.S data events.
We expect a range today of 0.6680 – 0.6850
The Euro moved lower across the board Tuesday as investors prepared for what was an inevitable Greek default. Edging lower against the Greenback the euro moved through 1.12 touching intraday lows of 1.1111 before finding support as traders scrambled to cover shorted positions. Optimistic investors looked to opinion polls suggesting a ‘Yes’ vote may garner enough support in accepting bailout terms. Attentions are keenly focused on the outcome of the Greek Referendum and subsequent likelihood Greece will remain within the Eurozone with creditors clearly voicing suggestions a No vote will commit the Greeks to an exit path destined to bring long term financial hardship. The U.S dollar firmed through Tuesday benefitting from euro selling and heavy buying into months end. Stronger than anticipated consumer confidence helped bolster the macroeconomic landscape cancelling out a minor fall in Chicago PMI as attentions turn to prelim non-farm payroll numbers ahead of tomorrow official print.
Data releases:
AIG Manufacturing Index, Building Approvals and Commodity Prices
NZD: No Data
Tankan Manufacturing and Non-manufacturing Index and Final Manufacturing PMI
GBP: Manufacturing PMI, BoE Financial Stability Report and BoE Governor Carney Speaks

BER Notebook - FX Market Research & Currency News/Views from our Partners See more >>

OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Reversed direction. USD/JPY - Gained last week. GBP/USD - Reversed direction. AUD/USD - Reversed direction. USD/CAD - Gained a fraction. NZD/USD - Extended its previous week’s losses. Continue reading
Posted on 29 June 2015 | 1:41 pm
OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Extended its gains. USD/JPY - Extended its previous week’s losses. GBP/USD - Continued its rally last week. AUD/USD - Extended its previous week’s gains. USD/CAD - Continued its decline. NZD/USD - Continued selling off last week. Continue reading
Posted on 22 June 2015 | 1:53 pm
BER Team
Add a resurgent carry trade to the list of things keeping Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens from getting a weaker Aussie dollar. A widening yield advantage on the nation’s debt amid a drop in currency volatility is luring investors back to the strategy. Borrowing equally in yen and euros to buy Aussie earned 1.6 per… Continue reading
Posted on 14 May 2015 | 7:47 am
OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Extended its gains last week. USD/JPY - Reversed direction. GBP/USD - Gained ground. AUD/USD - Extended its previous week’s gains. USD/CAD - Extended its previous week’s losses. NZD/USD - Lost a fraction last week. Continue reading
Posted on 10 May 2015 | 7:17 pm
Agility Forex
USDCAD Overnight Range 1.2048-1.2142 The highly anticipated US (and Canadian) employment reports were greeted with a resounding “meh”. NFP was right on consensus and the unemployment rate is 5.4%. EURUSD rose and fell and is currently back to its pre-release level. The Canadian report was worse than expected, which was actually expected, shedding 19,700 jobs.… Continue reading
Posted on 8 May 2015 | 6:37 am

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