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: EUR/USD is weaker having traded to the top of its recent range and come near the top of the long term down trend dating from its June 2011 high up at 1.48 . We expect this to be a heavy resistance zone and we may see some choppy moves around this 1.3250 – 1.3350 range. Relative interest rates have provided for recent strength in EUR, and are likely to provide for further support ahead of next week’s FOMC given the focus on the Fed’s forward guidance thresholds. The ECB meeting two days later on August 1st will be a key focus as market participants look to Draghi for his reaction to both the improving outlook for Europe (PMI’s) and the implications of the recent strengthening in Euro. We expect a range today of 1.3240 to 1.3290 Charts :EUR/USDUSD/EUR
: GBP/USD is weaker falling to near term support around 1.5370 – The pair has been trading in a narrow range all week, and we should see this move develop and give new direction coming into next week’s more data heavy calendar which will include on Thursday, the UK MPC minutes and interest rate decision, and on Friday the US non-farm payrolls numbers. We expect a range today of 1.5330 to 1.5400 Charts :GBP/USDUSD/GBP
: The USD continues to hold on to strength following yesterday’s FOMC meeting where Yellen and Co. left the statement largely unchanged and emphasized that moves going forward will be data dependent. The market still appears to want to be long USD and it will be interesting to see the light this week’s CFTC data sheds on currency positions. USDCAD has remained within its range if the last few days and the focus now turns to tomorrow’s CAD CPI and Wholesale sales tomorrow AM, while continuing to be susceptible to volatility from the Scottish vote. A prerecorded speech from Janet Yellen is out this morning on "The Importance of Asset Building for Low and Middle Income Households", which will have very little to do with monetary policy. US weekly Unemployment claims dropped back below 300K to 280K which should be a positive for the rebound in employment everyone is looking for in September. We expect a range today of 1.0940 to 1.1030 Charts :USD/CADCAD/USD
: USD/JPY has seen significant weakness today, falling back below the 100 level. The Yen strength was caused by market perception of a “stronger” than expected CPI number, coming in at 0.2% vs 0.1% expected and indicating an increase of inflation in line with the BOJ policies. However, looking at the various components which make up this number we can see that the core drivers of inflation have come from higher energy prices and higher food costs – indicating “bad” cost push inflation, instead of “good” demand pull inflation (via increasing wages). This is not a good sign for the long term health of Japanese companies or the economy. We expect a range today of 98.00 to 98.60 Charts :USD/JPYJPY/USD
Treasuries fell whilst the US dollar gained overnight after the US Federal Reserve retained its pledge to keep interest rates near zero for a “considerable time”. In what proved to be one of the most highly anticipated meetings this year, policy makers stopped well short of overhauling its policy statement instead repeating its assessment that a significant amount of slack still remains within the labour market. Whilst there wasn’t a great deal new about the Fed’s stance overall investors have viewed the statement in a positive light pushing the US dollar Index to its highest point in 14 months. In other economic developments US CPI missed forecast at -0.2 percent whilst current account numbers exceeded expectation. In what’s been a tumultuous week for broader currency markets the Greenback is unsurprisingly stronger against the Yen this morning at 108.323 whilst also comfortably outpacing the Euro (1.2860). Data releases RBA Bulletin NZD: GDP q/q Trade Balance GBP: Retail Sales m/m, CBI Industrial Order Expectations, Scottish Independence Vote Charts :USD/EUREUR/USDUSD/JPY
Bloomberg Television interview with Michael Ward, CEO, North America and Europe for USForex on getting
the Best Exchange Rates when sending money abroad from the US plus his thoughts on what to look for when Buying Property Abroad and which global cities are popular right now.
⇒ watch video
You may well think that you are being ripped off, but it is not always the case. In simple terms what you see on the news or in the paper or on yahoo finance
is the Middle Rate or mid-rate. Some people want to buy a currency and some people want to sell a currency and there is a gap (or margin) between the price at which you buy and
the price at which you sell. ⇒ read article
There are a number of cost components to making and receiving international payments, most of which are far from transparent to customers: Currency fees, Transit fees, Correspondent bank fees etc ⇒ read article
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