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Friday, 31 October 2014 - Market Commentary
Daily currency news provided by UsForex

: EUR/USD is weaker having traded to the top of its recent range and come near the top of the long term down trend dating from its June 2011 high up at 1.48 . We expect this to be a heavy resistance zone and we may see some choppy moves around this 1.3250 – 1.3350 range. Relative interest rates have provided for recent strength in EUR, and are likely to provide for further support ahead of next week’s FOMC given the focus on the Fed’s forward guidance thresholds. The ECB meeting two days later on August 1st will be a key focus as market participants look to Draghi for his reaction to both the improving outlook for Europe (PMI’s) and the implications of the recent strengthening in Euro.
We expect a range today of 1.3240 to 1.3290
Charts : EUR/USD USD/EUR
: GBP/USD is weaker falling to near term support around 1.5370 – The pair has been trading in a narrow range all week, and we should see this move develop and give new direction coming into next week’s more data heavy calendar which will include on Thursday, the UK MPC minutes and interest rate decision, and on Friday the US non-farm payrolls numbers.
We expect a range today of 1.5330 to 1.5400
Charts : GBP/USD USD/GBP
: Canadian GDP came in at -0.1% when the market anticipated a flat reading at 0.0%, taking the USDCAD back through 1.1200 and the 1.1247 resistance which had held all week. This along with the flow from JPY and EUR will keep the USD well bid throughout the day likely leaving us challenging 1.1300 for the close on the week.
We expect a range today of 1.1280 to 1.1320
Charts : USD/CAD CAD/USD
: USD/JPY has seen significant weakness today, falling back below the 100 level. The Yen strength was caused by market perception of a “stronger” than expected CPI number, coming in at 0.2% vs 0.1% expected and indicating an increase of inflation in line with the BOJ policies. However, looking at the various components which make up this number we can see that the core drivers of inflation have come from higher energy prices and higher food costs – indicating “bad” cost push inflation, instead of “good” demand pull inflation (via increasing wages). This is not a good sign for the long term health of Japanese companies or the economy.
We expect a range today of 98.00 to 98.60
Charts : USD/JPY JPY/USD
Suggesting that the US economy may be strong enough to absorb higher interest rates US Stocks gained ground overnight after the world’s largest economy expanded by 3.5 percent during the third quarter of this year. Whilst the underlying figures did reveal a strong portion of that growth was linked to an increase in government spending a separate report painted an even prettier picture after fewer Americans filed for unemployment benefits over the past month than at any other time. Despite the positive reads the US dollars performance has been mixed overnight, whilst weaker against the majority of G10 currencies the Greenback is stronger this morning against both the Euro (1.2607) and the Yen (109.222). In European developments figures showed consumer prices in Germany unexpectedly slowed heightening concerns that weakness from peripheral Europe has finally reached the core. With the dust having settled on broader US dollar moves, macro softness across the 18-nation bloc threatens to further weigh on the currency both in the short and medium term.
Data releases
PPI q/q
NZD: Building Consents m/m
Household Spending y/y, Tokyo CPI y/y
GBP: No data today
Charts : USD/EUR EUR/USD USD/JPY

Foreign Real Estate Investing Do's and Don'ts

Bloomberg Television interview with Michael Ward, CEO, North America and Europe for USForex on getting the Best Exchange Rates when sending money abroad from the US plus his thoughts on what to look for when Buying Property Abroad and which global cities are popular right now. ⇒ watch video

Why is it that when I go into a currency vendor to send money I never get the rate on the news?

You may well think that you are being ripped off, but it is not always the case. In simple terms what you see on the news or in the paper or on yahoo finance is the Middle Rate or mid-rate. Some people want to buy a currency and some people want to sell a currency and there is a gap (or margin) between the price at which you buy and the price at which you sell. ⇒ read article

What makes sending money internationally so expensive?

There are a number of cost components to making and receiving international payments, most of which are far from transparent to customers: Currency fees, Transit fees, Correspondent bank fees etc ⇒ read article

BestExchangeRates in the PressSMH.com.au Money

“A check with the foreign-exchange comparison website bestexchangerates.net shows a big variation in the exchange rates available when sending money and buying cash.” SMH.com.au ⇒ read article

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