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Tuesday, 07 July 2015 - Market Commentary
Daily currency news provided by UsForex

: EUR/USD is weaker having traded to the top of its recent range and come near the top of the long term down trend dating from its June 2011 high up at 1.48 . We expect this to be a heavy resistance zone and we may see some choppy moves around this 1.3250 – 1.3350 range. Relative interest rates have provided for recent strength in EUR, and are likely to provide for further support ahead of next week’s FOMC given the focus on the Fed’s forward guidance thresholds. The ECB meeting two days later on August 1st will be a key focus as market participants look to Draghi for his reaction to both the improving outlook for Europe (PMI’s) and the implications of the recent strengthening in Euro.
We expect a range today of 1.3240 to 1.3290
Charts : EUR/USD USD/EUR
: GBP/USD is weaker falling to near term support around 1.5370 – The pair has been trading in a narrow range all week, and we should see this move develop and give new direction coming into next week’s more data heavy calendar which will include on Thursday, the UK MPC minutes and interest rate decision, and on Friday the US non-farm payrolls numbers.
We expect a range today of 1.5330 to 1.5400
Charts : GBP/USD USD/GBP
: Canadian Trade Balance came in at -3.3B while US Trade Balance came in at -41.9B. At 10am we have the JOLTS Job Openings. USD continues to strengthen on risk aversion with falling Chinese equities, Greece and slumping commodity prices.
We expect a range today of 1.2682 to 1.2790
Charts : USD/CAD CAD/USD
: USD/JPY has seen significant weakness today, falling back below the 100 level. The Yen strength was caused by market perception of a “stronger” than expected CPI number, coming in at 0.2% vs 0.1% expected and indicating an increase of inflation in line with the BOJ policies. However, looking at the various components which make up this number we can see that the core drivers of inflation have come from higher energy prices and higher food costs – indicating “bad” cost push inflation, instead of “good” demand pull inflation (via increasing wages). This is not a good sign for the long term health of Japanese companies or the economy.
We expect a range today of 98.00 to 98.60
Charts : USD/JPY JPY/USD
Following a dramatic start to the new week currency markets have stabilised overnight opening broadly unchanged as investors continue to cling to safety ahead of further Greek developments. Having already witnessed the initial plight into both the Yen and the USD, risk positioning still remains a key determinant of prices upon open this morning. Despite further warnings from France and Germany that Greece need to move quickly if they wish to restart financial aid talks, the ECB for the time being maintain a tight grip on Greek banks which have remained closed for week in an attempt to stem a run on deposits. With European leaders now due to meet this evening as part of their euro-summit, the ball is once in Tsipras’s court to see whether a serious and credible proposal can be put forward. In the wake of heightened uncertainty the EUR remains resilient as fears of broader contagion remain well in-check. Stronger against the Greenback this morning the EUR is currently trading at 1.1056.
Data releases
Cash Rate, RBA Rate Statement 
NZD: NZIER Business Confidence  
 No data today 
GBP: Manufacturing Production m/m, Halifax HPI m/m
Charts : USD/EUR EUR/USD USD/JPY

BER Notebook - FX Market Research & Currency News/Views from our Partners See more >>

OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Extended its previous week’s losses. USD/JPY - Reversed direction. GBP/USD - Extended its previous week’s losses. AUD/USD - Extended its previous week’s losses. USD/CAD - Continued gaining. NZD/USD - Continued selling off last week. Continue reading
Posted on 6 July 2015 | 2:29 am
Agility Forex
USDCAD Overnight Range 1.2307-1.2377 USDCAD popped higher in early New York trading when traders returning from their long weekend took note of WTI prices pushing through the 38.2% Fibonacci level of the March-June range ($54.44) and trading at $54.22.Wti has since bounced back to $54.60/bbl but the Loonie has ignored the move. Last week’s reports… Continue reading
Posted on 6 July 2015 | 2:21 am
OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Reversed direction. USD/JPY - Gained last week. GBP/USD - Reversed direction. AUD/USD - Reversed direction. USD/CAD - Gained a fraction. NZD/USD - Extended its previous week’s losses. Continue reading
Posted on 29 June 2015 | 1:41 pm
Agility Forex
USDCAD Overnight Range 1.2307-1.2377 The Greek PM cries referendum, the Eurozone Finance ministers cry no extension and Greek citizens just cry. News that the Greek government implemented capital controls and shuttered banks until July 7th spooked FX markets in early Asian trading. A bout of risk aversion in a thin market saw EURUSD plunge to… Continue reading
Posted on 29 June 2015 | 11:44 am
OzForex Research
Major Currency Pair Movements Last Week: EUR/USD - Extended its gains. USD/JPY - Extended its previous week’s losses. GBP/USD - Continued its rally last week. AUD/USD - Extended its previous week’s gains. USD/CAD - Continued its decline. NZD/USD - Continued selling off last week. Continue reading
Posted on 22 June 2015 | 1:53 pm

Foreign Real Estate Investing Do's and Don'ts

Bloomberg Television interview with Michael Ward, CEO, North America and Europe for USForex on getting the Best Exchange Rates when sending money abroad from the US plus his thoughts on what to look for when Buying Property Abroad and which global cities are popular right now. ⇒ watch video

Why is it that when I go into a currency vendor to send money I never get the rate on the news?

You may well think that you are being ripped off, but it is not always the case. In simple terms what you see on the news or in the paper or on yahoo finance is the Middle Rate or mid-rate. Some people want to buy a currency and some people want to sell a currency and there is a gap (or margin) between the price at which you buy and the price at which you sell. ⇒ read article

What makes sending money internationally so expensive?

There are a number of cost components to making and receiving international payments, most of which are far from transparent to customers: Currency fees, Transit fees, Correspondent bank fees etc ⇒ read article

Advertised Foreign Transfer Exchange Rate - Accuracy Checks

Investigating reports that the exchange rates for International Money Transfers published by Financial Institutions on their websites are better than those available to their customers via Internet Banking. We will publish periodic Exchange Rate Accuracy checks here.⇒ read article

BestExchangeRates in the Press SMH.com.au Money

“A check with the foreign-exchange comparison website bestexchangerates.net shows a big variation in the exchange rates available when sending money and buying cash.” SMH.com.au ⇒ read article

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